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The US Senate voted Wednesday (October 29) to terminate the national emergency President Donald Trump invoked to impose steep tariffs on Canadian imports, marking the chamber’s second bipartisan rebuke of Trump’s trade policies in as many days.

The resolution passed 50–46, with four Republicans—Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul of Kentucky, Susan Collins of Maine, and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska—joining Democrats in support.

The Senate’s move follows a similar vote on Tuesday (October 28) to block tariffs on Brazilian goods.

‘President Trump has stretched this notion of emergency far beyond the language of the statute,” Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia said in a floor speech ahead of the vote. “If President Trump can name anything as an emergency, so can any president henceforth.”

Kaine’s resolution targets the 25 percent tariffs Trump first imposed on Canadian goods in February under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Trump justified the move by claiming Canada was failing to stop the flow of fentanyl across the northern border, a rationale that Kaine and others called “absurd.”

“It is ridiculous to say that fentanyl is an emergency with respect to Canada,” Kaine said. “It’s a pretext that’s just being used to pour more and more tariffs onto Canada.”

According to US Customs and Border Protection, less than one percent of fentanyl seizures this year occurred along the northern border, amounting to only 66 pounds in total.

Trump later escalated the tariffs to 35 percent in August and threatened to raise them another 10 percent last week, following a spat over a televised advertisement by Ontario’s provincial government.

The ad featured a 1987 clip of former President Ronald Reagan warning that tariffs “lead to retaliation and shrinking markets”—a message Trump dismissed as “fake.”

The president abruptly canceled trade negotiations with Canadian officials over the ad, prompting sharp criticism from lawmakers in both parties.

“The economic harms of trade wars are not the exception to history, but the rule,” McConnell said in a statement explaining his vote. “Tariffs make both building and buying in America more expensive. And no cross-eyed reading of Reagan will reveal otherwise.”

Collins, whose home state borders Canada, said her vote reflected both economic and practical concerns.

“I’ve seen firsthand the damage that the Canadian tariffs have caused,” she said Tuesday. “The Canadians have worked very hard to try to stem the flow of drugs into this country, and the vast majority of drugs arrive from the southern border, not the northern border. So I don’t think the basis for imposing tariffs on Canada is a valid one.”

The trade rift has also spilled into the private sector, where Canadian exporters are scrambling to manage rising costs and tighter margins.

With tariffs adding pressure to cross-border transactions, many businesses have turned to their banks for foreign exchange, only to encounter delays and high fees.

“An estimated 85 percent of small and medium-sized businesses in Canada use their bank because of the convenience, and frankly, because they aren’t aware of any other solution,” said Alfred Nader, CEO of fintech firm Mark Lane.

Impact on further negotiations

Prime Minister Mark Carney has expressed willingness to resume negotiations, saying that discussions on steel, aluminum, and energy tariffs were making progress before talks collapsed.

While Trump has expressed his view that he thinks he will not be meeting with the Prime Minister “for a while,” the POTUS told reporters that he shared ‘a very nice conversation’ with Carney over a recent APEC dinner.

Trump’s tariffs have strained one of the world’s largest trading relationships. According to the Office of the US Trade Representative, U.S.-Canada trade totaled US$909 billion in 2024, with nearly US$3.6 billion in goods and services crossing the border daily.

More than three-quarters of Canada’s exports go to the US, and the Canadian economy has been heavily impacted by the new duties.

Wednesday’s vote took place while Trump was in Asia pursuing other trade negotiations.

However, his ongoing confrontation with Canada continues to loom large over US trade relations, with another Senate vote expected Thursday on a resolution to block the president’s global tariff powers.

The House, meanwhile, remains a dead end for any such effort. Republican leaders there have employed a procedural rule to prevent consideration of any resolutions overturning Trump’s trade actions until 2026, ensuring that even bipartisan opposition in the Senate will have little immediate effect.

Still, Kaine and other Democrats say that growing dissent within Republican ranks signals shifting attitudes on Capitol Hill.

“It will become untenable for them to just close their eyes and say, ‘I’m signing up for whatever the president wants to do,’” Kaine said.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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/NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO UNITED STATES NEWS WIRE SERVICES OR FOR DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED STATES/

TSX Venture Exchange:   BSK
Frankfurt Stock Exchange:   MAL2

Blue Sky Uranium Corp. (TSXV: BSK,OTC:BKUCF) (FSE: MAL2), (‘Blue Sky’ or the ‘Company’) announces that it has entered into an agreement with Red Cloud Securities Inc. (‘Red Cloud’) to act as agent and sole bookrunner in connection with a ‘best efforts’ private placement (the ‘Marketed Offering’) for the sale of up to 60,000,000 units of the Company (the ‘Units’) at a price of C$0.05 per Unit (the ‘Offering Price’) for aggregate gross proceeds of up to C$3,000,000.

Each Unit will consist of one common share of the Company (each, a ‘Common Share‘) and one common share purchase warrant (each, a ‘Warrant‘). Each Warrant will entitle the holder thereof to purchase one Common Share at a price of C$0.07 at any time on or before that date which is 60 months following the Closing Date (as herein defined).

The Company has also granted Red Cloud an option, exercisable in full or in part up to 48 hours prior to the closing of the Marketed Offering, to sell up to an additional 10,000,000 Units at the Offering Price for additional gross proceeds of up to C$500,000 (the ‘Agent’s Option‘). The Marketed Offering and the securities issuable upon exercise of the Agent’s Option shall be collectively referred to as the ‘Offering‘.

The Company intends to use the net proceeds of the Offering for the exploration and advancement of the Company’s flagship Rio Grande Uranium-Vanadium Project located in the province of Rio Negro in Argentina as well as for general working capital and corporate purposes.

Subject to compliance with applicable regulatory requirements and in accordance with National Instrument 45-106 – Prospectus Exemptions (‘NI 45-106‘), the Units will be offered for sale to purchasers resident in the provinces of British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Ontario pursuant to the listed issuer financing exemption under Part 5A of NI 45-106, as amended by Coordinated Blanket Order 45-935 – Exemptions from Certain Conditions of the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption (the ‘Listed Issuer Financing Exemption‘). The Common Shares and Warrants underlying the Units, as well as the Warrant Shares issuable from the Warrants if exercised, are expected to be immediately freely tradeable in accordance with applicable Canadian securities legislation if sold to purchasers resident in Canada. The Units may also be sold in offshore jurisdictions (provided that no prospectus filing or comparable obligation, ongoing reporting requirement or regulatory or governmental approval requirement arises in such jurisdictions) and in the United States on a private placement basis pursuant to one or more exemptions from the registration requirements of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the ‘U.S. Securities Act‘).

There is an offering document (the ‘Offering Document‘) related to the Offering that can be accessed under the Company’s profile at www.sedarplus.ca and on the Company’s website at: www.blueskyuranium.com. Prospective investors should read this Offering Document before making an investment decision.

The Offering is scheduled to close on November 18, 2025 or such other date as the Company and Red Cloud may agree (the ‘Closing Date‘). Completion of the Offering is subject to certain conditions including, but not limited to, the receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals, including the approval of the TSX Venture Exchange (the ‘TSXV‘).  

This news release does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to sell any of the securities in the United States. The securities have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act or any state securities laws and may not be offered or sold within the United States or to U.S. Persons unless registered under the U.S. Securities Act and applicable state securities laws or an exemption from such registration is available.

About Blue Sky Uranium Corp.

Blue Sky Uranium Corp. is a leader in uranium discovery in Argentina. The Company’s objective is to deliver exceptional returns to shareholders by rapidly advancing a portfolio of uranium deposits into low-cost producers, while respecting the environment, the communities, and the cultures in all the areas in which we work. Blue Sky’s flagship Amarillo Grande Project was an in-house discovery of a new district that has the potential to be both a leading domestic supplier of uranium to the growing Argentine market and a new international market supplier. The Company’s recently optioned Corcovo project has demonstrated potential to host an in-situ recovery uranium deposit. The Company is a member of the Grosso Group, a resource management group that has pioneered exploration in Argentina since 1993.

ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD

‘Nikolaos Cacos’  
______________________________________
Nikolaos Cacos, President, CEO and Director

Neither TSXV nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSXV) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

Disclaimer Regarding Forward-Looking Information

This news release contains ‘forward-looking information’ within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. ‘Forward-looking information’ includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to activities, events or developments that the Company expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future, including, without limitation, the anticipated timing of closing of the Offering or at all; the anticipated terms of the Units and the Warrants; the anticipated use of the net proceeds of the Offering; the anticipated receipt of all necessary approvals in respect of the Offering; and statements regarding the potential mineral content of the Company’s projects are forward-looking statements and contain forward-looking information. Generally, but not always, forward-looking information and statements can be identified by the use of words such as ‘plans’, ‘expects’, ‘is expected’, ‘budget’, ‘scheduled’, ‘estimates’, ‘forecasts’, ‘intends’, ‘anticipates’, or ‘believes’ or the negative connotation thereof or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results ‘may’, ‘could’, ‘would’, ‘might’ or ‘will be taken’, ‘occur’ or ‘be achieved’ or the negative connotation thereof.

In making the forward-looking information in this release, the Company has applied certain factors and assumptions that are based on the Company’s current beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to the Company including, among other things, that the Offering will close on the anticipated timeline or at all; that the Units and the Warrants will have the anticipated terms; that the Company will use the net proceeds of the Offering as anticipated; and that the Company will receive all necessary approvals in respect of the Offering. Although the Company considers these assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently available to it, they may prove to be incorrect, and the forward-looking information in this release is subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause future results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking information.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The Company does not intend, and expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

SOURCE Blue Sky Uranium Corp.

View original content to download multimedia: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/October2025/30/c9904.html

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Global commodities prices are on track to fall to their lowest level in six years by 2026, as weaker demand, a widening oil surplus and policy uncertainty continue to weigh on markets, according to the World Bank.

In 2025, the oil glut is projected to expand 65 percent above its last peak in 2020 as electric and hybrid vehicles reduce fuel consumption and oil demand flattens in China, as per the organization’s latest Commodity Markets Outlook.

The World Bank sees global energy prices falling sharply as a result.

Brent crude is forecast to slide from an average of US$68 per barrel in 2025 to US$60 in 2026, marking the lowest level in five years. Overall, energy prices are seen dropping by 12 percent this year and an additional 10 percent next year.

Despite the declines, commodities prices remain elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels. The World Bank estimates 2025 prices will still average 23 percent higher than in 2019, and 2026 levels about 14 percent above pre-COVID benchmarks, reflecting structural shifts such as climate impact, supply chain realignment and new industrial demand.

Food markets are also showing signs of easing. Global food prices are forecast to fall in 2025 and 2026, aided by improved harvests and lower shipping costs. However, fertilizer costs are expected to surge this year before easing in 2026, driven by high input prices and trade restrictions that could strain farm profitability and threaten crop yields.

Precious metals, by contrast, are defying the broader trend.

Gold and silver prices have reached record highs in 2025, primarily buoyed by central bank purchases, investor demand for safe-haven assets and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty.

The gold price is expected to rise 42 percent this year and another 5 percent in 2026, nearly doubling its 2015 to 2019 average. Meanwhile, silver is projected to increase 34 percent this year and 8 percent next year.

While the downturn in energy prices, as well as lower prices for commodities like wheat and rice, is providing some relief to inflation-hit economies, the World Bank warns the decline may be temporary.

“Commodity markets are helping to stabilize the global economy,” said Indermit Gill, the World Bank Group’s chief economist and senior vice president for development economics, in a Wednesday (October 29) release. “Falling energy prices have contributed to the decline in global consumer-price inflation. But this respite will not last. Governments should use it to get their fiscal house in order, make economies business-ready, and accelerate trade and investment.”

The report also notes that the commodities outlook remains vulnerable to shifting global conditions. Prolonged trade disputes, sluggish economic growth or an unexpected surge in OPEC+ oil supply could drag prices further down. Conversely, heightened geopolitical tensions, new sanctions or severe climate disruptions could drive them back up.

Beyond short-term price dynamics, the report’s ‘special focus’ section for this year examines whether renewed global interest in managing supply and demand through commodities pacts could stabilize markets.

Drawing on a century of experience with international commodities agreements (ICAs), the World Bank found that most efforts like this ultimately failed. In the 20th century, producer and consumer nations attempted to stabilize prices through mechanisms involving inventory controls, trade quotas and price-setting schemes for commodities.

While some early efforts achieved temporary price stability, most collapsed due to weak coordination and changing demand patterns. Even the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) — the longest-lasting such arrangement — has faced increasing challenges from new energy sources and shifting consumer behavior.

“OPEC’s longevity stands out among other ICAs,” the report states, noting that its survival has depended on its ability to adjust production quotas, expand alliances through OPEC+ and engage with consumer nations through dialogue.

Still, the World Bank cautions that OPEC faces growing headwinds from the global transition toward cleaner energy, which could usher in a period of stagnant or declining oil demand.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Steve Barton, host of In It To Win It, weighs in on the pullback in gold and silver prices, sharing where the floors could be for both precious metals.

In his view, the correction is healthy and will lead to higher levels in the future.

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Surface Metals Inc. (CSE: SUR,OTC:SURMF) (OTCQB: SURMF) (the ‘Company’, or ‘Surface Metals’) is pleased to announce that it has retained the services of IDR Marketing, Inc. to provide public relations strategies, brand awareness, financial and digital marketing services to the Company.

The marketing awareness services provided by IDR will be aimed at maintaining and building the profile of Surface Metals through traditional press initiatives, advertising directives and social media strategies.

IDR is a leading marketing firm and ad agency located in Long Beach, California specializing in the marketing of small and microcap companies.

Under the terms of the agreement, as the financial marketing agency of record to the Company, IDR will be paid upwards of US one hundred eighty five thousand dollars in cash for its services for a six-month term. IDR Marketing, Inc., including its principals, does not own any of the Company’s securities.

About IDR

IDR Marketing Inc. is an independent ad agency providing full-scale integrated marketing and advertising services. Clients trust IDR for brand strategy and awareness, digital marketing, social media and advertising, newswire distribution, article marketing, financial journalism, public relations and more.

IDR specializes in direct response marketing, delivering results to clients through its multichannel approach. While the Agency primarily specializes in financial services, it provides results-oriented online and traditional offline campaigns across all sectors and industries. Visit https://idrmarketing.com to learn more.

About Surface Metals Inc.

Surface Metals Inc. (CSE: SUR,OTC:SURMF) (OTCQB: SURMF) is a North American mineral exploration company focused on advancing a diversified portfolio of gold and lithium projects in Nevada, USA, and Manitoba, Canada. The Company’s Cimarron Gold Project is located in Nye County, Nevada, in a historically productive gold district. It’s Clayton Valley Lithium Brine Project hosts an inferred resource of approximately 302,900 tonnes LCE adjacent to Albemarle’s Silver Peak Mine. Surface Metals also holds additional lithium assets in Fish Lake Valley, Nevada, and through a joint venture with Snow Lake Energy in southeastern Manitoba.

On behalf of the Board of Directors

Steve Hanson
Chief Executive Officer, President, and Director
Telephone: (604) 564-9045
info@surfacemetals.com

Neither the CSE nor its regulations service providers accept responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release. This news release contains certain statements which may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws (‘forward-looking statements’). Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date it is made and, except as may be required by applicable securities laws, the Company disclaims any intent or obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or results or otherwise.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/272510

News Provided by Newsfile via QuoteMedia

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Investor Insight

Apex Resources Inc. is a North American minerals explorer, advancing high-value critical mineral tungsten and lithium projects in Canada and the United States. With drilling underway at its Jersey-Emerald property in British Columbia and drill permitting in progress for its Lithium Creek brine project in Nevada, Apex offers investors exposure to multiple catalysts within the clean-energy and critical-minerals sectors.

Overview

Apex Resources Inc. (TSXV:APX,OTC:SLMLF) is a Vancouver-based mineral exploration company advancing a balanced portfolio of North American assets combining near-term tungsten-gold opportunities in British Columbia, Canada, with district-scale lithium potential in Nevada, USA.

The company’s flagship Lithium Creek project in Churchill County, Nevada, is a newly defined lithium-brine discovery opportunity. Recent geophysical and gravity surveys confirmed extensive low-resistivity zones and complex basin geometries – typical signatures of major lithium-bearing brine systems – yielding multiple shallow and deep drill targets. Located just 70 km east of Reno and 30 minutes from Tesla’s Gigafactory, Lithium Creek benefits from exceptional infrastructure within the US battery-manufacturing corridor.

While Lithium Creek remains Apex’s flagship, the company’s current exploration emphasis is in southeastern British Columbia in Canada, where it controls the historic Jersey-Emerald and Ore Hill mines. These holdings form a district-scale polymetallic system making Apex one of the most diversified explorers in Canada’s critical minerals space.

Drilling at the Jersey-Emerald project

The company’s near-term news flow will be driven by drilling at Jersey-Emerald through 2025 while it advances US permits for Lithium Creek.

Company Highlights

  • Critical-minerals focus: Apex’s portfolio is anchored by lithium, tungsten and zinc, all designated as critical by Canada and the US.
  • Precious-Metals (Gold&Silver) are important by-products at Jersey-Emerald
  • Diversified exploration pipeline: Active drill program at Jersey-Emerald (tungsten-gold-zinc) while preparing to drill Lithium Creek in Nevada.
  • Large-scale opportunity: Apex controls contiguous and nearby claim blocks around Salmo, BC, including Jersey-Emerald and Ore Hill, forming a multi-deposit critical- and precious-metal exploration district spanning more than 17,500 hectares with several historic mines, hosting Tungsten, Zinc, Lead, Silver, Gallium, Germanium, Indium, Bismuth, Tellurium and Molybdenum.
  • Strong early results in USA: Lithium Creek brine samples up to 393 mg/L lithium, with geophysics outlining multiple deep-basin anomalies.
  • Historic infrastructure advantage in Canada: More than $100 million in existing underground workings at Jersey-Emerald; year-round road, rail and power access to both BC projects.
  • Tier-1 jurisdictions: Stable, mining-friendly locations in British Columbia and Nevada with clear permitting frameworks.
  • Experienced leadership: Proven technical and capital-markets expertise led by CEO Ron Lang and a board made up of seasoned exploration and mining professionals.

Key Projects

Lithium Creek Project

The Lithium Creek project is a newly identified lithium-brine discovery opportunity in Nevada’s Fernley-Carson Sink basin complex. Covering over 8,200 acres, the project lies 70 km east of Reno and 30 minutes from the Tesla Gigafactory within the heart of America’s lithium-battery corridor.

Lithium Creek prospect area

Project Highlights

  • District-scale scope: ~8,240 acres of claims across the Fernley and Carson Sinks, a structurally closed basin system with strong lithium-brine potential.
  • High lithium values: Surface and shallow brine samples up to 393 mg/L lithium, far above regional cut-off grades.
  • Strong geophysics: HSAMT and gravity surveys identified multiple low-resistivity zones and deep basin geometry indicative of large brine reservoirs.
  • Green-energy focus: Designed for direct lithium extraction using local geothermal and solar power to minimize water use and carbon footprint.
  • Permitting phase: Drill-target selection and US BLM permitting underway to enable Phase 1 drilling in 2026.

Jersey-Emerald Project

The Jersey-Emerald project is Apex’s primary Canadian project and a significant past-producing mine complex hosting tungsten, zinc, lead, gold and molybdenum. Located 10 km southeast of Salmo, BC, the project includes the former Emerald tungsten and Jersey lead-zinc mines, which were historically among Canada’s largest producers of these metals. Apex is now leveraging modern exploration and geophysics to expand critical-mineral zones and identify new targets across the 17,500-hectare property.

Jersey-Emeral mine site circa 1969


Project Highlights

  • Proven past production: Over 1.6 million tons (Mt) of tungsten ore and 8 Mt of zinc-lead ore mined between 1942 and 1973.
  • Established resource base: 2021 NI 43-101 estimate of 1.47 Mt indicated and 5.13 Mt inferred grading up to 0.25 percent tungsten trioxide (WO₃) and 0.03 percent molybdenum, with associated gold values.
  • Active drilling: 2025 diamond-drill program (7 holes / 955 m) targeting critical metal expansion and high-grade gold zone (24.98 g/t gold over 10.2 m in historic hole E1411).
  • Brownfield advantage: >$100 million of historic underground infrastructure and direct access via paved highways, powerlines and rail.
  • Regional integration: Forms the core of Apex’s Salmo district portfolio with nearby Ore Hill and other contiguous claims providing district-scale potential.

Management Team

Ron Lang – CEO, President and Director

Ron Lang has a long history of working in the exploration and mining industry, following in the footsteps of his father, Frank A. Lang of Hemlo Gold Mine fame. He served as the president and CEO of Cream Minerals, overseeing exploration in Canada, Mexico and Africa. He also served as a board member to several junior exploration companies. Lang is skilled in negotiation, business planning, operations management, venture capital markets and business development.

Dennis Cojuco – CFO

Dennis Cojuco is a graduate of the University of British Columbia (BSc. Chemistry and Diploma in Accounting) and is a chartered accountant in British Columbia. Cojuco articled with PricewaterhouseCoopers and worked primarily in the firm’s mining practice where he assisted clients in public financings, mergers and acquisitions, public company reporting and various other areas. He has over 15 years experience in the mining industry working with junior and major mining companies (including Teck and NexGen Energy), and is currently the CFO and corporate secretary of Rokmaster Resources.

Adam Pankratz – Director

Adam Pankratz is a professor of Business Economics and Strategy at the University of British Columbia – Sauder School of Business, and a director of Rokmaster Resources. He brings diverse experience and expertise, including seven years in financial services management and leading a federal election campaign.

Brett Kagetsu – Director

Brett Kagetsu is a senior corporate finance and securities lawyer. With majority of his clients being Canadian-reporting issuers in the mining sector, he completed the Canadian Securities Course in 2000 and has served as an instructor for the TSXV’s Rules and Tools corporate governance workshop for over 15 years. Kagetsu holds a Bachelor of Commerce degree and a Bachelor of Laws degree from the University of British Columbia, and is a director of TSXV-listed Abasca Resources.

William Feyerabend – Senior Advisor

William Feyerabend is a certified professional geologist with extensive experience in generating, exploring and developing lithium brine projects in Nevada, California, Utah and Argentina. He has authored more than 45 technical reports for properties across six countries on four continents, including claim blocks in Nevada’s lithium development epicenter, the Clayton and Fish Lake Valleys. His expertise in lithium exploration began in 2015, with a specific focus on Esmeralda County, Nevada, especially Clayton Valley.

John Mirko – Special Advisor

John Mirko has more than 40 years experience in the mining industry, past President and Founder of Canam Alpine Ventures Ltd. (recently sold to Vizsla Resources (TSXV:VZLA), past President and Founder of Canam Mining and currently president of Rokmaster Resources Corporation. From 1986 to 2010 was the founder, president-CEO and Director of 4 public mining-exploration companies and a founder and Director of 3 others. Have been self employed in the sector since 1972 as a prospector, contractor and consultant involved in exploration, development and mine construction of various projects in 12 counties, and commercial production of mineral concentrates and metal products from 5 of the projects. In 2008 was a recipient of the ‘E. A. Scholtz Medal for Excellence in Mine Development’ from the Association for Mineral Exploration of British Columbia, and in 2009, the Mining Association of British Columbia’s ‘Mining and Sustainability Award’ for the MAX Mine. Currently a member in good standing of the Society of Economic Geologists, Inc., the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum, and the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada.

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Nickel prices were volatile in the first half of 2025, but fell flat in Q3 amid ongoing oversupply concerns.

The market has also faced considerable uncertainty as the US adjusts its trade and spending policies, with headwinds coming from the end of the electric vehicle (EV) tax credit and a grinding tariff dispute with China.

These potential weak spots in market demand have come alongside an oversupplied market, and despite a 35 percent reduction in Indonesia’s output quota, supply and demand remain out of balance.

What happened to the nickel price in Q3?

As mentioned, nickel prices were volatile in H1, hitting a year-to-date high of US$16,720 per metric ton (MT) on March 12 before collapsing to a year-to-date low of US$14,150 on April 8.

By the start of the third quarter, prices had stabilized, reaching US$15,190 on July 1. Amid price fluctuations, nickel rose to a quarterly high of US$15,575 on July 23, then fell to a quarterly low of US$14,950 on July 31.

For the rest of the period, nickel prices were largely rangebound between US$15,000 and US$15,500, falling outside that range only once, when they dipped to US$14,950 on August 21.

Nickel price, April 1 to July 24, 2025.

Chart via London Metal Exchange.

Structural oversupply hindering nickel market

“The issue facing the nickel market is not weak demand; consumption is rising at a solid rate. The issue is rapid production growth, driven mostly by Indonesia. This has resulted in a structurally oversupplied market, which in turn is pressuring the London Metal Exchange (LME) nickel price,” he said.

Behind the stagnant price movements, the LME’s own data shows rising nickel stockpiles.

Across all warehouses, the LME hosted 164,028 MT of nickel at the start of the year; by the end of the first half, the amount had risen to 203,886 MT. The most recent data shows that the upward trend continued through the third quarter, with LME nickel stockpiles reaching 231,504 MT on September 30.

While demand is growing, it’s not enough to counter the flood of nickel entering the market. Furthermore, demand for nickel has been hindered by the end of the EV tax credit in the US on September 30, which has raised the cost of new vehicles for buyers and could impact the future uptake of new EVs in the US.

As S&P Global reported on October 15, this situation caused consumers to buy EVs before the deadline, resulting in a short-term spike in demand. However, the news outlet notes that US market stagnation may be offset by rising demand in domestic Chinese markets, which appeared to return to normal levels at the end of Q3.

While that may be good news for EVs, nickel won’t necessarily benefit as producers are shifting toward lithium-iron phosphate batteries. S&P Global notes that the change has caused nickel-manganese-cobalt batteries to lose 2 percentage points of market share year-on-year, accounting for 22 percent of the EV battery market.

However, the biggest issue weighing on nickel prices is supply, which Indonesia currently dominates. During Q3, the country experienced civil unrest stemming from a cost-of-living crisis. Even though the protests had no direct impact on nickel output, Masson suggested they could be an additional tailwind for Indonesia’s mining industry.

The country slashed nickel ore output earlier in the year to 200 million MT from 215 million MT in 2024. The move served to stabilize prices around the US$15,000 mark, but so far has done little else to improve the market.

As an additional measure to exert greater control over output levels and support prices, Indonesia reduced the duration of approved output quotas to one year. The policy change, which came into effect on October 3, requires producers who had been granted longer-term licenses to apply for 2026 quotas between October 1 and November 15, 2025.

In April, Indonesia implemented a new royalty scheme that adjusted royalty rates for nickel ore from a fixed 10 percent to 14 to 19 percent, the nickel matte rate from 2 percent to 3.5 to 5.5 percent, and the nickel pig iron rate from 5 percent to 5 to 7 percent. Nickel miners have pushed back on the changes, suggesting they would put greater financial strain on mining businesses, which are already struggling with high costs and low cash flows.

Nickel price forecast for 2025

The price of the base metal should see some tailwinds as seasonal output declines amid the rainy season in the Philippines, reducing the amount of nickel entering the market.

However, this is a temporary cut, with the season running from early October to the first quarter of 2026.

From Masson’s perspective, he doesn’t see a meaningful change in price before the end of the year, noting that more needs to be done on the supply side to move the needle.

“For the nickel price to improve, there needs to be greater supply discipline to rebalance the market. It is hard to see how this can occur without Indonesia. One way supply discipline could occur is via the country’s mine quotas, which the government now sets annually. Rising royalty payments could also squeeze older, higher-cost producers in the country,” he said. He predicts prices will remain rangebound around the US$15,000 level unless supply growth slows.

Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Dr. Mark Thornton, senior fellow at the Mises Institute, discusses the factors that have taken the gold price to all-time highs. In his view, the key driver is government actions like overspending, borrowing and money printing, none of which are likely to abate soon.

He also shares his bullish outlook for silver.

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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